• A 30-year probability map for oil spill trajectories in the barents sea to assess potential environmental and socio-economic threats 

      Pavlov, Victor; Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Hole, Lars Robert; Pongrácz, Eva (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-12-24)
      Increasing exploration and exploitation activity in the Arctic Ocean has intensified maritime traffic in the Barents Sea. Due to the sparse population and insufficient oil spill response infrastructure on the extensive Barents Sea shoreline, it is necessary to address the possibility of offshore accidents and study hazards to the local environment and its resources. Simulations of surface oil ...
    • Assessing ocean ensemble drift predictions by comparison with observed oil slicks 

      Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Röhrs, Johannes; Johansson, Malin; Eltoft, Torbjørn (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2023-05-16)
      Geophysical models are cornerstone pieces in marine forecasting of floating objects and pollution, such as marine surface oil slicks. Trajectory forecasts of oil spills inherit the uncertainties from the underlying geophysical forcing. In this work we compare the forecast capabilities of an ocean ensemble prediction system (EPS) to those from a higher resolution deterministic model on ...
    • A dataset of direct observations of sea ice drift and waves in ice 

      Rabault, Jean; Müller, Malte; Voermans, Joey; Brazhnikov, Dmitry; Turnbull, Ian; Marchenko, Aleksey; Biuw, Martin; Nose, Takehiko; Waseda, Takuji; Johansson, Malin; Breivik, Øyvind; Sutherland, Graig; Hole, Lars Robert; Johnson, Mark; Jensen, Atle; Gundersen, Olav; Kristoffersen, Yngve; Babanin, Alexander; Tedesco, Paulina Souza; Christensen, Kai Håkon; Kristiansen, Martin; Hope, Gaute; Kodaira, Tsubasa; Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Taelman, Catherine Cecilia A; Quigley, Cornelius Patrick; Filchuk, Kirill; Mahoney, Andrew R. (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2023-05-03)
      Variability in sea ice conditions, combined with strong couplings to the atmosphere and the ocean, lead to a broad range of complex sea ice dynamics. More in-situ measurements are needed to better identify the phenomena and mechanisms that govern sea ice growth, drift, and breakup. To this end, we have gathered a dataset of in-situ observations of sea ice drift and waves in ice. A total of 15 ...
    • Estimating a mean transport velocity in the marginal ice zone using ice-ocean prediction systems 

      Sutherland, Graig; Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Hole, Lars Robert; Rabault, Jean; Dabboor, Mohammed; Breivik, Øyvind (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-06-01)
      Understanding the transport of objects and material in the marginal ice zone (MIZ) is critical for human operations in polar regions. This can be the transport of pollutants, such as spilled oil, or the transport of objects, such as drifting ships and search and rescue operations. For emergency response, the use of environmental prediction systems are required which predict ice and ocean parameters ...
    • GEO-3144/8144 Teaching Cruise: Geologically controlled hydrocarbon seepage in Hopendjupet and the wider Barents Sea 

      Serov, Pavel; Patton, Henry; Mazzini, Adriano; Mattingsdal, Rune; Shephard, Grace; Cooke, Frances Ann; Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Holm, Villads Dyrved; Alessandrini, Giuliana; Meza Cala, Juan Camilo; Luerssen, Paula (Research report; Forskningsrapport, 2022-11-18)
      The CAGE22-6 cruise on-board R/V Helmer Hanssen hosted UiT´s Arctic Marine Geology and Geophysics (GEO-8144 and GEO-3144) field course for PhD and Master students, and was carried out in collaboration with NPD – the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate and the INTPART project HOTMUD based at Centre for Earth Evolution and Dynamics (CEED) the University of Oslo. The cruise was also a part of the UNESCO ...
    • Quantitative assessment of two oil-in-ice surface drift algorithms 

      Martins de Aguiar, Victor Cesar; Dagestad, Knut-Frode; Hole, Lars Robert; Barthel, Knut Sven (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-02-04)
      The ongoing reduction in extent and thickness of sea ice in the Arctic might result in an increase of oil spill risk due to the expansion of shipping activity and oil exploration shift towards higher latitudes. This work assessed the response of two oil-in-ice surface drift models implemented in an open-source Lagrangian framework. By considering two numerical modeling experiments, our main finding ...